Courtesy of SNL, via Crooks and Liars
| Obama | Romney |
| 98.9% probability | 1.1% probability |
| 311 electoral votes | 227 electoral votes |
[Read more... ]
The Monte Carlo analysis gives Inslee wins 751,986 times, and McKenna wins 243,119 times, suggesting that, in an election held now, Inslee would win with a 75.6% probability and McKenna would win with a 24.4% probability:
[Read more... ]
You weren't an Elector, nor was I. However, I was a whole lot closer to matriculating at the Electoral College than any of our readers -- had Maria Ehsan, the Elector chosen at the 7th Congressional District's Democratic caucus back in May, been unable to attend the Electoral College meeting in Olympia, yours truly (the Alternate Elector from WA-07) would have taken her place as one of Washington's 12 Electors.
So I was right there in the State Reception Room in Olympia's Legislative Building at noon on December 17, peering over the shoulders of the Electors as they cast their votes.... [Read more... ]
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Goldy — have you seen TODAY’S Seattle Times editorial?
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/editorialsopinion/2003327020_tvwed30.html
They are denouncing Darcy Burner because the Democrat Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) used a few seconds of TVW footage (from a Reichert speech to the Mainstream Republicans earlier this year) in an ad attacking Dave Reichert. They say that this violated TVW’s copyright.
Clearly, this has got to be “fair use” under the copyright laws. Just because the copyright holder says you can’t use their material at all for any purpose doesn’t mean that “fair use” of a limited portion is prohibited.
New York Post endorsed HILLARY CLINTON
Anonymous ASS will love that!
ASS – let that hate out. You’ve held too much in over the years.
The truth hurts doesn’t it assholes?
Yes, it hurts AMERICA.
But you AMERICA HATERS don’t give a rip.
Bitch BOO!
Cougars win!
Republicans lose!
Paradise.
Hmmm, the thin lost my name. I posted 37 and 38.
6 Anonymous
I say we should cut and run, all right.
We should CUT our losses in Iraq and RUN the government honestly for once.
Check out the list of the most dangerous cities in the USA. 100% Democrat!! Not a Republican within miles!!! All gang, crime, and drug infested Democrat Hillary Villiage Shit Holes!!! And all vote 115% Democrat!! [Atlas has Shrugged]
George Will didn’t have very nice things to say about Rumsfield in his recent Newseek column. I certainly don’t agree with George Will a lot of the time, but I do respect that (a) he uses logic and reason in his arguments, (b) is obviously intelligent, and (c) is willing to reverse course when he realizes his previous positions were in error.
So he starts his column by saying the following:
Nov. 6, 2006 issue – Many months ago it became obvious to all but the most ideologically blinkered that America is losing the war launched to deal with a chimeric problem (an arsenal of WMD) and to achieve a delusory goal (a democracy that would inspire emulation, transforming the region). Last week the president retired his mantra “stay the course” because it does not do justice to the nimbleness and subtlety of U.S. tactics for winning the war.
A surreal and ultimately disgusting facet of the Iraq fiasco is the lag between when a fact becomes obvious and when the fiasco’s architects acknowledge that fact. Iraq’s civil war has been raging for more than a year; so has the Washington debate about whether it is what it is.
In a recent interview with Vice President Cheney, Time magazine asked, “If you had to take back any one thing you’d said about Iraq, what would it be?” Selecting from what one hopes is a very long list, Cheney replied: “I thought that the elections that we went through in ‘05 would have had a bigger impact on the level of violence than they have … I thought we were over the hump in terms of violence. I think that was premature.”
He thinks so? Clearly, and weirdly, he implies that the elections had some positive impact on the level of violence. Worse, in the full transcript of the interview posted online he said the big impact he expected from the elections “hasn’t happened yet.” “Yet”? Doggedness can be admirable, but this is clinical.
Anyway, what Cheney actually said 17 months ago was that the insurgency was in its “last throes.” That was much stronger than saying we were “over the hump” regarding violence. Beware of people who misquote themselves while purporting to display candor…..
The remainder of the article is worth reading in its entirety:
Source….http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15460708/site/newsweek/
Things are getting pretty bad for the Republican administration when George Will thinks you are exhibiting ostrich-like tendencies.
Of course, I got a kick out of that last line quoted above – it reminded me too much of Mike McGavick.
14 JDB
So Mike! might get over 40% after all.
RR: How about a pig farm? That wouldn’t cause permanant harm to the environment, but would make it mighty unpleasant “aroma” for Blethan to come home to.
31
I see in today’s news that Ruport Murdoch and his New York Post endorsed HILLARY CLINTON for re-election to U.S. Senate. Eat shit, trollfuck traitor!
Do it for the “CHILDREN”!
defenestrate largely enticed Salvador plaits repealing flirting
I see the Cedar Park, Fuiten issue finally went to the next level. Front page of the Everett Herald this morning.
Richard @2,
Yeah, I’m writing on it now. Not only is this absolutely, positively fair use, but the Burner campaign is barred by law from coordinating with the DCCC. Either the Times editorial writers are a bunch of idiots, or they’re simply being disingenuous. I’m guessing the latter.
But also, as I’ve written before, the clip is in fact taken entirely in context. That is how his fellow Republicans in the audience understood it.
I’m guessing this is another Kate Riley hack job. It’s embarassing.
Flags of our CUT and RUNNERS
Anonymous
Do you hate all women? I’m confident they’re not terribly fond of you, given how bitter and delusional you are. Being a macho-wannabe, pounding your chest and telling us all how tough you are, is really no way enter adulthood, my son. Cast aside your venom, embrace reality, grow up.
The death of LIBERALISM… may you rot in your own hell
Here are the top 25 daily newspapers in the U.S. by circulation (with percent change) for the six-month period ending September 2006.
1. USA Today: 2,269509, (-1.3%)
2. The Wall Street Journal: 2,043235, (-1.9%)
3. The New York Times: 1,086,798, (-3.5%)
4. Los Angeles Times: 775,766, (-8.0%)
More bad news for the wingnuts:
With her new lead over Republican Mike McGavick of 52% to 41% (see crosstabs), Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell again enjoys the support she had in early September. She leads 54% to 42% when leaners are added to the tallies.
On September 6, right after McGavick made public an old drunk driving incident, a Rasmussen Reports poll showed his support sliding to 35%. He rebounded to the low 40s later in the month. But he hasn’t been able to climb further.
We are shifting this state from “Leans Democrat” to “Democrat” in our Senate Balance of Power summary. While Cantwell no longer has the seventeen-point advantage she enjoyed right after McGavick’s preemptive confession, the trend is in her favor.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/October%202006/WashingtonSenate.htm
It’s the ECONOMY, stupid!
You got that right. After watching Lynne Cheney on CNN this weekend, it became clear that one reason that Dick Cheney’s nastiness has so visibly increased over the past couple decades is that he is married to the heart of darkness. Lord, that “woman” is detestable. I’ll bet old Dickless hasn’t boinked that creature (nor has he probably wanted to) since their last child was conceived. A couple decades of a sexless marriage makes a man lonesome, orn’ry, and mean, as the late, great Waylon Jennings would say.
Commentby proud leftist— 10/30/06@ 12:04 pm
God, you truly are FILTH.
How about getting “boinked” by this creature?
Or bitch?
How about your favorite fat DUH!?
Or this scary bitch?
23 rhp6033
I can understand. It’s been a long time since Dick Cheney was close to anything resembling a hump.
17 Mike
Because Mike! helped run a campaign once. I know it doesn’t make sense.
Vote ASSES
Anonymous and the other wingnuts:
How is Bush’s plan working in Iraq? You might want to know the truth before you vote:
Burials at Arlington National Cemetery took on a grim regularity in October, when at least 103 American troops were killed in Iraq and Afghanistan. In Iraq, the toll had reached 99 by Saturday, making October the deadliest month since January 2005.
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/30/us/30arlingtonblurb.html?ex=1162875600&en=430085ff772a7512&ei=5065&partner=MYWAY
Note, that number is now over 100 dead in Iraq this month.
But, heck, its about 1200 days since “Mission Accomplished.”
No wonder not a single Republican is running on their record.
It’s about 35 degrees outside and all yew-all Democrats think it’s global warming! Haw haw haw!
I don’t care how many tons of carbon di-oxy-contin is going into the air, it’s cold outside dammit, and that proves everything I can understand!
“I’m Dave Reichert, and I approved this message.”
Why would anyone think that any organization that is interested in exploiting Muslim resentment of the US for their own purposes would want Republicans to lose?
If America really wants these pedophile, crooked, draft-dodging, traitors in the GOP to run the country then I certainly do hate America.
The White House is getting ready for a Democratic take over of congress:
Spotted on 10/19, by an eagle-eyed Wonkette reader: The Mid-Atlantic Shredding Services truck making its way up to the Cheney compound at the Naval Observatory.
. . .
You better get crackin’, Dick — that evidence won’t destroy itself!
http://www.wonkette.com/politics/dick-cheney/shreddin-with-dick-211028.php
The party of cowards
Anonymous
Aren’t delusions fun? Delusions are way better than reality. The pretend world let’s us picture our president as a smart and courageous leader, ignore the economic time bomb that our deficit and uncontrolled spending poses to us, and hang on to our notions about how our outdated ideology will continue to shape our nation and world. Stay in dreamland, buddy. Waking from your reactionary dreaming could be really depressing.
I can’t help noticing that anonomous will not sign his name. Can’t say that I blame him.
Proud leftist. Grow up!
Anonymous, 8 more days until the honest party regains at least 1 chamber. How will it feel for your GOP (gang of pendejos) to be remembered as ‘just a comma” (or will it be “just a pimple)? RIP GOP
Bush and the Republicans continue to ignore science:
A senior Bush political appointee at the Interior Department has rejected staff scientists’ recommendations to protect imperiled animals and plants under the Endangered Species Act at least six times in the past three years, documents show.
In addition, staff complaints that their scientific findings were frequently overruled or disparaged at the behest of landowners or industry have led the agency’s inspector general to look into the role of Julie MacDonald, who has been deputy assistant secretary of the interior for fish and wildlife and parks since 2004, in decisions on protecting endangered species.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/29/AR2006102900776.html?referrer=email
…And the Reichert ad saying Burner wants to raise “your” SS taxes. That’s deliberately misleading. Raising the cap on SS higher than the $90,000 a year mark is not the same as raising everybodies’ SS tax> It’s SOP. It was done under Reagan, under grown-up Bush, and under Clinton. Mournfully intoning that Darcy Burner wants to raise “your” taxes is an egregious lie.
And I don’t even know what egregious means, but Oprah said it was a good word to use.
I am a Republican – I lie, cheat and steal. An am one big cry baby hypocrit. Boo Hoo Hoo – I have to pay taxes, let me cheat instead. Hail Hitler.
(Yes, I know that the numbers above are well within the margin of error, but it sure does feel good to be on the upper end of that margin for a change.)
34 Anon
I’m a cut and run Democrat, all right. I want us to CUT our losses in Iraq and RUN over to Pakistan, kick Musharraf’s ass and cature Osama bin Laden once and for fucking all.
36 Mike et. al.
Curent thought is that Anonymous is the former HowcanyoubeproudtobeanASS, who represented as female.
I have written to Kate, I’ll send the letter your way. She wants Darcy running against Doc. Apparently Right Wingers are out of place in Yakima but not in Bellevue.
Why is Darcy getting ripped for no public service when Mike McGavick’s service has been totally in the private sector?
Has Frank Blethen endorsed I-933? If he does, I’m gonna buy property next door to his house, build a bumper chroming plant there, and hire an Indian tribe to run it.
Man there can be nothing worse for America than to have this fucking inbred idiot Bush representing our country. I am so ashamed that I want to vomit. I can’t WAIT for the day this traitor is out of office.
26
You got that right. After watching Lynne Cheney on CNN this weekend, it became clear that one reason that Dick Cheney’s nastiness has so visibly increased over the past couple decades is that he is married to the heart of darkness. Lord, that “woman” is detestable. I’ll bet old Dickless hasn’t boinked that creature (nor has he probably wanted to) since their last child was conceived. A couple decades of a sexless marriage makes a man lonesome, orn’ry, and mean, as the late, great Waylon Jennings would say.
Roger Rabbit @ 18
I assume Blethen will oppose I-933. His family’s financial interests have nothing at all to do with that initiative.
Probably more important to see how Blethen will stretch the truth to support causes that he believes in. And I don’t see how using a few seconds from a copyrighted videotape in a political commercial is anything other than “fair use”. This issue should have nothing to do with which candidate wins the 8th district congressional race.
Perhaps it’s time for a bit of good news. RT Strategies, a non-partisan (or maybe bi-partisan) consulting/polling firm has released its latest poll on the 8th Congressional District. The numbers are:
Darcy Burner – 49%
David Reichert – 47%
Source: http://www.constituentdynamics.com/mw/2006/index2.php
Yes, there are a number of people that are still asking the question “Darcy who?”, but the people asking that question are back in that “other” Washington, and they work for the Republicans.
Looks like there’s a good chance that they will get the opportunity to meet Ms. Burner in person.